[Ferro-Alloys.com] Now, silicon metal market faced with four problems, firstly, the capacity was oversupply and the market was weak; secondly, the price fell again and again and factories loss profit, thirdly, the problem of international trade limited the development of silicon metal; lastly, the downstram demand was not enough to consume the stocks and make the market weak. From 2013 to 2014, the market was warm and last for short time, while in 2015, the price fell and factories make less profit. And with the price of electricity increased in south province, industries will stop production and now many factories produce more goods for the sale in dry season period. So the production cost will be affected. In the context of national support to photovoltaic industry, the rapid development of polysilicon photovoltaic industry, and promote the rapid increase in industrial silicon consumption in the field of polysilicon. 2013 polysilicon industry in the field of industrial silicon for the first time exceeded 100000 tons, in 2014 the field of polysilicon consumption rose to 163000 tons, an increase of 60%, accounting for 20% of the total domestic consumption.
Since the first three quarters, the market of silicone continued to shock, silicone DMC prices fell 9.2% in August, fell by 18.8%, an also the price continued to fall to historic lowest line, the two silicone conference held in August and September, silicone were spread enterprise unified price increased, but the actual transaction is still low, because of its low supply and was not consume; the downstream demand weakly, greater resistance to high prices; in mid October to silicone monomer as cases of price increases compared with the end of 9 rose 400 yuan / ton, rose 3% in late October, silicon metal market began gradually into the normal water period, low water period, taking into account the current silicon factory of organosilicon monomer industry the operating load increases gradually, and rising production costs, silicon metal market in the fourth quarter price higher conditions. 10 month domestic in a serious phenomenon of producing most of the organic silicon monomer loss making enterprises and some enterprises in October sales task progress slow, the pattern in previous years, 9, October is the sales season, but this year is not obvious, in the short term, the domestic market of silicone still exist up to a certain power, but persistent in 11, 12 month market prices will gradually weaken, the present situation and market to adjust the subjective factor in the majority, the downstream actual demand brought about by restricting the underdog, but in the long run, leading the trend of the market will still be the downstream demand.
According to Japan's aluminum alloy association data show that Japanese aluminum alloy industry, a total of 44145 tons of industrial silicon, an increase of 1.1%. Aluminum alloy production was 827250 tons, an increase of 2.2% in 2014. 2014 1-7 months, China's aluminum silicon alloy industry output value reached 25616000000 yuan, an increase of 29.2%. Chinese customs data show that in 2015 the Japanese 1-9 month cumulative metal silicon imports 127852.538 tons, an increase of 19.08%, as China's largest metal silicon importing countries, Japan's demand for metal silicon is rising, while the Japanese car in the domestic share of high proportion, September Japanese cars sold in the country after the German line 290000. And domestic aluminum industry is currently facing serious losses, the last December in aluminum electrolysis operation capacity 3063.2_wan million tons, loss capacity 1849.5 million tons, 60.38% loss rate of industry, industry wide losses reached more than 90%, this year in aluminum, Shenhuo shares, Zhongfu industry, Yunlvgufen, company loss. In the next three years, this situation will be difficult to change, the aluminum price will fall below the million mark in the year, facing the problem: overcapacity, oversupply of aluminum, resulting in the low price of aluminum. And outside China about 300 million tons of aluminum production capacity is currently in a state of loss, and on October 24, 2015, with the aluminum company of China Fushun Aluminum electrolytic aluminum production line across the board production, Zibo City Zhangdian District People's court announced, Zibo aluminium factory was officially declared bankruptcy and relationship with Zibo and Xing Aluminum Co., Ltd. may therefore will usher in a wave of factory closed.
- [Editor:tianyawei]
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