Weekly Commentary on Ferrosilicon Market (7.22-7.26)

  • Friday, July 26, 2019
  • Source:ferro-alloys.com

  • Keywords:Ferrosilicon Market, spots, futures
[Fellow]The new round of steel tender would continue to do well as July, we have to wait and see.
[Ferro-Alloys.comThe ferrosilicon market ran weakly stably this week. Last week's higher mainstream quoted price continued, but the trading volume was not that satisfactory, as northeast big factories reinstated the production, the current market was lack of confidence.
 
From Tuesday, big steel mills released their tender notice of August in succession, Hengyang Valin Steel released its bidding quantity as 180 tons in early August; Jiangsu Shagang Group released its adding volume of July as 1000 tons and the price was 150 RMB/T higher than before; Nanjing Iron and Steel Group released its bidding quantity of August as 2200 tons; ZENITH's bidding quantity of August was 2000 tons. The new round of steel tender would continue to do well as July, we have to wait for the progress of the battle between the supply and requisitioning parties.
 
There were 9 enterprises in Gansu province In production in July, the utilization of capacity was around 40%, 2.22% up than June.
 
Steel: Since July, due to the limitation of production, the operating rate of blast furnace declined from 69.6% to 55.1%. Most steel mills' performance was declining during quarter 2 with little sign of swift recovery during quarter 3.
 
Magnesium Metal: Recently, due to the increase of ferrosilicon's price, the price of magnesium metal was increased, too. But unfortunately, currently it was not in hare demand and the actual transaction was common. The price of magnesium ingot was declined slightly at 100 RMB/T this week.
 
Silicon Metal: The price of silicon metal stopped declining on temporary basis, but the downstream was not in high demand right now, and the market trend was weak.
 
Steel Scrap: Due to environmental protection regulations and high temperature and rainy weather, the stockpile of steel scrap was tight and the price remained in strong situation. But on the other hand, the steel billet market started to surrender part of the profits to make a deal, the steel scrap may not pull up price largely.
 
Iron Ore: The price of iron ore was keeping strong during this long time, as the current stockpile was lower, its price will hold high in a short term run. Vale announced its Vargem Grande comprehensive mining area would reinstate the production on 24th, July, which would increase 5 million tons of iron ore in 2019. Some analysts thought it would influence the price of iron ore, and some analysts thought the iron ore would keep unstably because the contradiction between the supply and requisitioning parties was not solved and meanwhile the declining stockpile of iron ore was relieved currently.
 
Coke: The coke market was steady and strong this week. The utilization of capacity of steel mills rebounded and the demand for coke was rising, the stockpile decreased. Many steel mills accepted the higher price of coke. At present, the profit of coke enterprises in Shanxi Province was about 150-200 RMB/T and they are probably to increase the price of coke again. But where it will lead to, we have to wait and see.
 
Ferrosilicon Futures: Continuous increases in eight trading days, ferrosilicon futures began to decline this Tuesday, the trading volume decreased significantly with small fluctuations. The opening price, closing quotation as well as settlement price went down this week.
 

Ferrosilicon futures main contract 1909 daily closing price, the specific performance as follows:

 

Date

Closing price

Range %

Settlement Price

Futures trading volume

July 1st

6218

0.42

6244

88188

July 2nd

6178

1.06

6174

92792

July 3th

6146

0.52

6152

60170

July 4th

6164

0.20

6154

53850

July 5th

6146

0.13

6156

42186

July 8th

6140

0.26

6168

92242

July 9th

5982

3.02

6074

145824

July 10th

5990

1.38

6006

72024

July 11th

6008

0.03

5968

92790

July 12th

6244

4.62

6228

374784

July 15th

6338

1.77

6316

186422

July 16th

6324

0.13

6314

113906

July 17th

6342

0.44

6334

164028

July 18th

6356

0.35

6368

196106

July 19th

6432

1.01

6400

158476

July 22nd

6266

2.09

6318

126502

July 23 rd

6212

1.68

6220

101500

July 24th

6160

0.96

6180

75562

July 25th

6116

1.04

6126

101726

July 26th

6122

0.07

6134

60384

 

  • [Editor:kangmingfei]

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